Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.003463 0.003861 0.004276 0.004740 0.005243 0.005771 0.006367
2024-10-13 0.002941 0.003518 0.004152 0.004897 0.005744 0.006674 0.007769
2024-10-20 0.002473 0.003122 0.003864 0.004768 0.005833 0.007039 0.008502
2024-10-27 0.002176 0.002876 0.003704 0.004745 0.006005 0.007470 0.009289
2024-11-03 0.001916 0.002643 0.003529 0.004674 0.006096 0.007787 0.009929
2024-11-10 0.001728 0.002477 0.003417 0.004662 0.006243 0.008159 0.010629
2024-11-17 0.001555 0.002314 0.003293 0.004619 0.006338 0.008460 0.011240
2024-11-24 0.001466 0.002253 0.003292 0.004728 0.006622 0.008995 0.012147
2024-12-01 0.001304 0.002079 0.003129 0.004611 0.006604 0.009141 0.012559
2024-12-08 0.001200 0.001977 0.003054 0.004604 0.006724 0.009461 0.013194
2024-12-15 0.001163 0.001969 0.003107 0.004772 0.007077 0.010088 0.014236
2024-12-22 0.001099 0.001914 0.003089 0.004836 0.007290 0.010532 0.015044
2024-12-29 0.001058 0.001895 0.003123 0.004978 0.007618 0.011143 0.016094
2025-01-05 0.001025 0.001885 0.003171 0.005140 0.007977 0.011804 0.017225
2025-01-12 0.000918 0.001748 0.003020 0.005006 0.007913 0.011886 0.017578
2025-01-19 0.000848 0.001667 0.002947 0.004982 0.008001 0.012175 0.018212
2025-01-26 0.000772 0.001570 0.002846 0.004909 0.008014 0.012355 0.018697
2025-02-02 0.000717 0.001504 0.002787 0.004896 0.008111 0.012654 0.019348
2025-02-09 0.000660 0.001429 0.002711 0.004851 0.008158 0.012879 0.019897
2025-02-16 0.000638 0.001417 0.002735 0.004965 0.008443 0.013448 0.020937
2025-02-23 0.000574 0.001321 0.002616 0.004843 0.008367 0.013494 0.021236
2025-03-02 0.000536 0.001270 0.002569 0.004836 0.008465 0.013791 0.021895
2025-03-09 0.000530 0.001283 0.002632 0.005010 0.008845 0.014509 0.023167